Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.834504 2.980505 3.133922 3.307839 3.500385 3.708039 3.950290
2025-04-20 2.596845 2.796737 3.016549 3.278615 3.585870 3.939055 4.382442
2025-04-27 2.425626 2.663903 2.936039 3.275005 3.693703 4.205379 4.897822
2025-05-04 2.312506 2.585009 2.907286 3.325866 3.870566 4.580565 5.626249
2025-05-11 2.193749 2.487907 2.846001 3.328086 3.985294 4.895476 6.355509
2025-05-18 2.078009 2.384479 2.766558 3.296813 4.049854 5.152684 7.077598
2025-05-25 1.946248 2.251268 2.637847 3.185981 3.987861 5.212850 7.501192
2025-06-01 1.852976 2.160929 2.557864 3.133436 4.002647 5.394197 8.210253
2025-06-08 1.778645 2.090285 2.498477 3.103384 4.046263 5.630713 9.134202
2025-06-15 1.723927 2.041918 2.465353 3.107271 4.142398 5.978721 10.498476
2025-06-22 1.652057 1.966530 2.389705 3.040748 4.114483 6.091584 11.360093
2025-06-29 1.575624 1.881410 2.295639 2.938932 4.015457 6.047299 11.771544
2025-07-06 1.498606 1.796498 2.203437 2.843032 3.933734 6.060779 12.537458
2025-07-13 1.460901 1.764202 2.185122 2.861983 4.059408 6.554565 15.597680
2025-07-20 1.428194 1.737269 2.173005 2.890147 4.208554 7.164776 20.603958
2025-07-27 1.406918 1.725291 2.182148 2.954356 4.440269 8.096452 32.045612
2025-08-03 1.375918 1.697748 2.165913 2.973995 4.587676 8.892741 52.871192
2025-08-10 1.339723 1.660932 2.133131 2.961643 4.666120 9.537885 98.495638
2025-08-17 1.290432 1.602956 2.064392 2.879596 4.578090 9.583264 144.688754
2025-08-24 1.254357 1.563107 2.022227 2.842540 4.588155 10.009842 568.620366
2025-08-31 1.224289 1.530975 1.990614 2.822228 4.634743 10.626369 NaN
2025-09-07 1.201811 1.509232 1.974384 2.829070 4.748721 11.643857 NaN
2025-09-14 1.168560 1.470103 1.928216 2.775559 4.703841 11.898430 NaN